Temple vs South Florida 10/23/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Temple winning 50% of simulations, and South Florida 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Temple commits fewer turnovers in 14% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. South Florida wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Justin Lynch is averaging 251 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Jaren Mangham is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SFLA -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 57
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